Forecasts for Housing Price growth
We seem to be by bombarded by various forecasts for Housing price growth, or maybe I should say, in some cases, housing crashes or bubbles bursting.
If you are feeling in a particularly negative mood, or perhaps you are a first home buyer waiting for the market to crash in order that you can buy, then its best to try and get a hold of the many international companies, looking at the Australian housing market from the outside, to find the doom and gloom price crash scenarios. Just last week, Deloitte Access, (not for the first time) tipped property to be the ‘worst investment’ over the next few years; I’m sure they’d love to get it right just once!
If you are interested in hearing a more positive forecast for real estate prices, you can usually depend on the Real Estate Industry itself, particularly some of the better known, (not necessarily more accurate!) organisations like Domain or Hotspotting “ guru” Terry Ryder, who infamously wrote that there was ‘no mining boom’ a few years ago and high prices, high rents and growth would continue in some of our mining boom towns!
(Please contact us at [email protected] for further information or the chance to discuss this and other issues in the comfort of your own home)
Probably, by far, the most dependable forecasts we have are those done by BIS Shrapnel on behalf of QBE, the most recent being the Australian Housing Outlook Report 2016-2019. This report is published in October each year and the latest has just recently been released.
While the press report on this release loves the opportunity to use phrases and words like “The Boom is over” and “Prices Plummet”, the experienced property investor will find absolutely nothing out of the ordinary or unexpected in the report. In summary, Sydney has hit the top of its growth cycle and we may see a small correction in the price of units and an even smaller correction, if at all, in house prices; exactly what happened after the 1988 and the 1993 Sydney ‘booms’ but maybe not as much as the small corrections of the last two booms – just don’t expect any price growth over the next 3 years. The forecasts for Melbourne are very similar although we may see a slightly larger correction in unit prices and a small correction in house prices.
Brisbane is forecast to see a drop in unit prices due to the very high level of unit development in the CBD and fringe but house price growth will continue, making the Brisbane house market the strongest growth market in Australia over the next 3 years.
Take away the emotive language of this daily mail article and the truth behind it shouldn’t hurt any property investor in our east coast cities too much and, in fact, should see Brisbane house investors continue to smile! Read more https://goo.gl/a6XArr
If you want to know more about the QBE Forecasts for Housing Price growth or find out more about growth suburbs contact us at [email protected].
