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Who Really Benefits from Negative Gearing?

By | best investment, Economy, Negative Gearing, Real Estate, Research | No Comments

Who Really Benefits from Negative Gearing?

Great piece of research from the ABC on who really benefits from negative gearing. It’s worth taking a look and we’ve also posted the full article on our media page. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-04-26/negative-gearing-by-occupation/7357718

There are two articles today of extreme interest in this debate, the one above on who really benefits from negative gearing, a list by profession prepared by the ABC and the following article which clearly explains the myths and the facts for property investment and how negative gearing really works and its effects on the housing market in Australia. This article is complete, it’s too good not to allow you to read in full.

“ Let’s answer the myths about who uses negative gearing, what benefits they get and what would be the impact on the economy if the tax system was radically changed.property-bubble

Who really benefits from negative gearing?

Treasurer Scott Morrison dismisses a report indicating high income earners receive the most advantage from negative gearing. Audio courtesy of Radio National.

Another day and another set of half-truths and myths about negative gearing.

This time, the Grattan Institute is calling for retrospective changes to housing investment that would raise tens of billions of dollars in new taxes on property owners. This is even more than federal Labor’s policy that would raise $32 billion in additional property taxes over the next 10 years.

These new taxes are all predicated on myths about negative gearing, rather than on modelling the economic impacts of change.

So let’s answer the myths about who uses negative gearing, what benefits they get and what would be the impact on the Budget and the economy if the current taxation system was radically changed.

Myth:  Negative gearing mainly benefits those on higher incomes

Fact:  58 per cent of net rental loss deductions by value go to the people with taxable incomes less than $80,000.  Only 13 per cent go to those with taxable incomes above $200,000.

Myth: Property investors are driving up house prices.

Fact: Housing investors are helping increase supply and that’s taking pressure off house prices. Last year, Australia constructed a record 220,000 new dwellings – 65 per cent were purchased by owner/occupiers and 35 per cent by investors. The investors are vital to helping Australia meet its housing shortfall.

Myth: Negative gearing disproportionately benefits surgeons and anaesthetists

Fact: There are 891 anaesthetists and 1020 surgeons who negatively gear.  By comparison, there are 89,900 clerical staff, 48,900 teachers and 33,700 nurses and midwives who negatively gear. Changes to negative gearing will shut the door to these people to build a “nest egg” for the future.

Myth: Negative gearing is a big hit on the budget

Fact: The cost to the budget of negative gearing is dropping. Net rental losses from investment properties have fallen from $7.9 billion in 2011-12 to $3.7 billion in 2013-14.  This is a drop of 53 per cent in two years.

Myth: Negative gearing is a rort that does nothing for the economy

Fact: The property industry employs 1.1 million people. The construction of a typical home involves 40 tradies and contractors. The industry is a vital part of the economy. Labor’s negative gearing policy puts an additional $32 billion in taxes on property over the next 10 years.

But all these arguments miss a bigger point – those blaming negative gearing for all the woes in our housing markets have constructed a strawman.

When in fact the chronic undersupply in the past decade – leaving a deficit of 200,000 homes against demand – is the root cause of escalating prices and where policymakers should turn their attention.

In Sydney, we are still paying the price for the policies of the previous state government that declared “Sydney is full”. The prices that families, couples and singles are paying for housing in Sydney, and in other capitals is a direct result of policies that hinder supply.

No one can escape the laws of supply and demand – and policies that smash negative gearing and drive up capital gains tax, will affect investment decisions.

It is only in recent years that we have started to tackle the housing deficit in our country, and as we have done so, house prices and rents have started to moderate.

However, demand pressures will remain as our population grows.  In Sydney alone, it is estimated  we will need to construct an additional 44,000 dwellings every year for the next 15 years just to keep up with demand.

During a time when housing investment is vital for jobs and to keep a lid on housing prices, the Grattan Institute and the federal Opposition are proposing radical changes to property investment. They are arguing that property owners, who last year paid a record $45 billion in property taxes (up over 10 per cent), should be slugged even more.

The Opposition has said its policy will not impact investment decisions. My question is when was the last time a government took an extra $32 billion from an industry and expected it to have no impact?

Major changes to negative gearing will make housing investment less attractive. This will, in turn, impact housing supply – and we will return to the bad old days, when supply did not keep up with demand.

If we want to make housing more affordable in our country, we must tackle the blockages to supply and not impose new ones. Proposed changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax will make a bad situation even worse.”

Ken Morrison is chief executive of the Property Council of Australia: The full article was published in the Sydney Morning Herald on 28/4/2016, click here: http://www.smh.com.au/comment/neative-gearing-isnt-the-bad-guy-in-the-housing-debate-20160427-gog59a#ixzz475X7LNkF

When will Sydney House prices boom again?

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When will Sydney House prices boom again?

The question already being asked, now that Sydney house prices seem to have peaked is “When will Sydney House prices boom again?”

House prices drop in almost all of Sydney’s suburbs over the last two quarters has seen the median house price dip below $1 million.

investment property growth in six years time?

investment property growth in six years time?

Many state that after a three-year property boom, Sydney’s house prices have fallen for the last six months indicating that the boom is clearly over. In fact, with the exception of 2012 which was a pretty ‘flat’ year in Sydney, the boom just over actually started in 2010. This makes the growth ‘boom’ period nearer to five years rather than just the last three years. Of course, the only areas that showed any good growth in from 2010 to 2013 were the Eastern Suburbs, Lower North Shore and Inner West. After the lull in price growth during 2012, we then saw the ‘ripple effect’ take hold as price increases rippled out to our outer suburbs. This was all quite predictable although the large percentage gain on median property prices over this period was a surprise to most. It just wasn’t expected to be such a big boom!

Since September 2015, when the median house price reached $1,045,000, the median Sydney price has fallen below the $1 million mark. The big question is “Where to from here?”

If history is any guide, the next boom is only five or six years away…. it nearly always is after the peak of each growth cycle.

We just need to keep a close eye on supply tightening up, Sydney population growth, the general economic conditions, unemployment and job growth, increasing rentals and affordability based on how much our average pay packets increase over the next few years. When we see all of the above begin to increase demand, then we’ll know that we are at the beginning of our next Sydney growth cycle.

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How to make money by understanding property cycles

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McGrath Real Estate Shares lose 31% after trading stop

One of our best known Real Estate personalities, John McGrath, has proved just how well he understands the cyclic nature of the property market. He has not made his money on buying and selling investment property this time but in McGrath Real Estate Shares when he floated his company on the ASX at the top of the property growth cycle in Sydney in December 2015.

Mr McGrath listed his company on the ASX at the peak of the Sydney housing boom, at the obvious peak of his company’s earning potential and walked away with a cool $30 million plus for his efforts. Will it make such a difference now if McGrath Real Estate Shares lose 31%.Mcgrath

Like many other experienced commentators, Mr McGrath expected the market in Sydney to cool after December 2015 and was suggesting that investment property investors should look at South East Queensland as an area with much higher potential for short-term growth than the ‘hot’ Sydney market. It is very surprising that Mr McGrath is now reported to be claiming,

“an unforeseen low volume of listings and sales in the first half of April, particularly in the north and north-western suburbs of Sydney, has led to an earnings downgrade for the 2016 year.”

McGrath, which listed in December, has seen its share price fall by as much as 31 per cent when it came out of a trading halt. The share closed down 40¢ to 90¢. They last traded on Thursday at $1.30. I suppose the big question must be, was this really a much larger drop in the market than he expected when the float papers were prepared at the end of last year?

To us, it does demonstrate the power of understanding the property market and timing things correctly to get the most out of your investment – whither it is real property investment or just selling up your Real estate Company!

Full story: http://goo.gl/FSBEq2

How will the global economy affect the housing market?

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How Will The Global Economy Affect the Housing Market?

Some really in-depth comment from realestate.com on how the general carnage on world stock exchanges will affect the value of your property investment – How will the global economy affect the housing market?

It’s a great article if you live in Sydney or Melbourne. Like every other article you have read recently on the Australian Housing market since before the beginning of the year when the carnage on the stock exchanges hit, the article is suggesting that prices in Sydney and Melbourne may not grow at all this year. In fact it informs us that prices have actually dropped in Sydney over the last quarter…. and the biggest surprise of all is the conclusion that the Australian property market is very strong and resilient and that the huge downturns on the global markets is unlikely to have much effect on Australian property!

housing-market

Now that must be a surprise to most! …..  And by the way, a couple of other Australian capital cities get a one sentence mention. Another big surprise not really worthy of much media mention is that property prices in Brisbane are growing!      Read here  http://goo.gl/4Oe49f

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