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Will the budget affect investment property prices?

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Will the budget affect investment property prices?

Like every federal budget we have ended up with a few winners and a few losers but our main interest is will the budget affect investment property prices?

Mr Turnbull in Canberra

Mr Turnbull in Canberra

Tuesday night did not really give us any surprises as nearly all measures announced had been flagged in the previous few weeks. We knew there will not be any changes to capital gains tax or negative gearing while we still have the Turnbull Government. We have a few commentators who do believe that the crackdown on superannuation tax concessions for the rich, coupled with a budget day cut to interest rates, could increase the flow of funds into negatively geared investment property.

On the other hand, with only the top 4% of earners affected by the caps now placed on superannuation, in the unlikely event that they do decide to park their ‘extra’ funds into negatively geared investment property, it is still unlikely that this would have much of an effect on the Australian property market. With all the arguments on the topic of negative gearing we’ve been hearing pre budget, with more to come as we lead up to the election, we should all now be aware that negative gearing is a general investment strategy which just happens to work for investment in property as well as all other investment assets.

We may see some of the 4% of high earners look for some tax relief in negative gearing through property, but it is highly unlikely that this will generally affect investment property pricing.

Of course, another group to ‘miss out’ on the budget were first time property buyers. Had we seen some greater incentives on assistance for this group, then we may have seen small differences at the entry level of the property market. However, again the first home buyer has been ignored so no changes there.

Two links here for those interested in further media comment: http://goo.gl/9aWnlW  and

http://goo.gl/StLBlL

The Gold Coast – A place for property investors

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The Gold Coast – A place for property investors

Sydney has been the best investment market in Australia for the last few years but close on its tale for capital growth in the last couple of years has been The Gold Coast – A place for property investors!

The Gold Coast was voted one of the top three places in the world to buy a second home in by the well-respected Knight Frank annual global The Wealth Report 2016, that strip glitz along 57 kilometres of Queensland coastline placed in the same international league as places like the Cote d’Azur in the south of France, and Spain’s Ibiza.surfers-sunrise

The Gold Coast suffered a major downturn in prices immediately after the Global Financial Crisis. There were a few major factors that saw the Gold Coast investment property market take a big dive but the principle two were reasons were an oversupply of luxury units and secondly the tourism based economy collapsed as tourist could no longer afford to come to Australia because of the high dollar (and of course many lost a lot of money in their own home markets).

Australian tourism is again riding a high wave and job growth over the last 3 years in the Gold Coast has been close to the strongest in Australia. Infrastructure projects have been happening everywhere from the billion dollar plus light rail system (completed a couple of years before Sydney even started!) to the new roads, and New Town centres such as the massive expansion happening in Coomera. Add to this the expansion in the University and medical precinct expansion, airport expansion, the upgrade of the Casino and the up and coming Commonwealth Games, just to highlight a few,  it’s little wonder we are seeing increasing prices, increasing population and a vacancy rate hovering around just 1%.

You can read more by clicking here: http://www.domain.com.au/news/golden-future-of-the-coast-20160426-gof1v1/

The Gold Coast – A place for property investors

The final paragraphs are worth reading – “With both construction and land costs significantly lower than in Sydney and Melbourne, prestige home owners and buyers can get significantly more for their buck. As a result interest is growing exponentially from interstate in what’s been named the fastest-growing major non-capital city in the country by property marketers CBRE. Two years ago, 10 per cent of inquiries for properties on the Gold Coast were from the southern states, says Gold Coast director Nicholas Clydesdale. “Now it’s over 40 per cent and it’s growing all the time.”

What the experts say

“It’s certainly a bonus if [HNWIs] can see some upside in the capital value of their asset over the holding period.” – Michelle Ciesielski, Knight Frank

What’s on trend

By the middle of this century, the Gold Coast … will “be a city of truly metropolitan scale”. – Bernard Salt. KPMG

What to look for

“We’re now expecting very strong growth.” – Marwan Rahme, Kanebridge

Signing a contract for an investment property

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Signing a contract for an investment property

In nearly every case where a client is buying an investment property, the client is working through a real estate agent and when the initial decision to buy is made the clients are signing a contract for an investment property purchase. The legal side of the purchase of the investment property is, in almost all cases, handled by the client’s legal representative. The legal representative is usually a qualified solicitor or someone qualified in conveyancing.richmond terrace

The conveyancing laws differ from state to state so it is extremely important to ensure that the legal representative the client uses to purchase the property investment is qualified in the laws of the state in which you are making the purchase.

Laws from state to state differ in terms of deposit monies to be paid, the ‘cooling off’ periods of a contract, the stamp duty that needs to be paid and the timing of the stamp duty payment. In Queensland in particular, a common additional clause in a contract is a ‘subject to finance’ clause which allows the purchaser to cancel a contract if full funding for the purchase cannot be obtained through a recognised Australian lender.

The most important issue for buyer to know is that once the contracts are signed, you are working within the legal framework and any issues which occur should immediately be reported to your legal representative and the selling agent as a secondary consideration.

The recent report in the media “Selling a house in Melbourne: investors stung over trying to pull out of sale” highlights the importance of this.

The case reports that two investment property buyers seem to have informed their agent by phone and in writing that they did not wish to proceed with the purchase during the “cooling off’ period to the selling agent but did not inform their solicitor or the vendor’s solicitor. The result is that they may be up for as much as $1 million in penalties for not proceeding with the purchase.

The moral of the story is obviously ‘deal with your legal representative in all contractual issues” and don’t be caught out trying to blame the selling agent if you have not abided by the full conditions of the contract you have signed!

Full story click here: http://goo.gl/URIruO

Who Really Benefits from Negative Gearing?

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Who Really Benefits from Negative Gearing?

Great piece of research from the ABC on who really benefits from negative gearing. It’s worth taking a look and we’ve also posted the full article on our media page. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-04-26/negative-gearing-by-occupation/7357718

There are two articles today of extreme interest in this debate, the one above on who really benefits from negative gearing, a list by profession prepared by the ABC and the following article which clearly explains the myths and the facts for property investment and how negative gearing really works and its effects on the housing market in Australia. This article is complete, it’s too good not to allow you to read in full.

“ Let’s answer the myths about who uses negative gearing, what benefits they get and what would be the impact on the economy if the tax system was radically changed.property-bubble

Who really benefits from negative gearing?

Treasurer Scott Morrison dismisses a report indicating high income earners receive the most advantage from negative gearing. Audio courtesy of Radio National.

Another day and another set of half-truths and myths about negative gearing.

This time, the Grattan Institute is calling for retrospective changes to housing investment that would raise tens of billions of dollars in new taxes on property owners. This is even more than federal Labor’s policy that would raise $32 billion in additional property taxes over the next 10 years.

These new taxes are all predicated on myths about negative gearing, rather than on modelling the economic impacts of change.

So let’s answer the myths about who uses negative gearing, what benefits they get and what would be the impact on the Budget and the economy if the current taxation system was radically changed.

Myth:  Negative gearing mainly benefits those on higher incomes

Fact:  58 per cent of net rental loss deductions by value go to the people with taxable incomes less than $80,000.  Only 13 per cent go to those with taxable incomes above $200,000.

Myth: Property investors are driving up house prices.

Fact: Housing investors are helping increase supply and that’s taking pressure off house prices. Last year, Australia constructed a record 220,000 new dwellings – 65 per cent were purchased by owner/occupiers and 35 per cent by investors. The investors are vital to helping Australia meet its housing shortfall.

Myth: Negative gearing disproportionately benefits surgeons and anaesthetists

Fact: There are 891 anaesthetists and 1020 surgeons who negatively gear.  By comparison, there are 89,900 clerical staff, 48,900 teachers and 33,700 nurses and midwives who negatively gear. Changes to negative gearing will shut the door to these people to build a “nest egg” for the future.

Myth: Negative gearing is a big hit on the budget

Fact: The cost to the budget of negative gearing is dropping. Net rental losses from investment properties have fallen from $7.9 billion in 2011-12 to $3.7 billion in 2013-14.  This is a drop of 53 per cent in two years.

Myth: Negative gearing is a rort that does nothing for the economy

Fact: The property industry employs 1.1 million people. The construction of a typical home involves 40 tradies and contractors. The industry is a vital part of the economy. Labor’s negative gearing policy puts an additional $32 billion in taxes on property over the next 10 years.

But all these arguments miss a bigger point – those blaming negative gearing for all the woes in our housing markets have constructed a strawman.

When in fact the chronic undersupply in the past decade – leaving a deficit of 200,000 homes against demand – is the root cause of escalating prices and where policymakers should turn their attention.

In Sydney, we are still paying the price for the policies of the previous state government that declared “Sydney is full”. The prices that families, couples and singles are paying for housing in Sydney, and in other capitals is a direct result of policies that hinder supply.

No one can escape the laws of supply and demand – and policies that smash negative gearing and drive up capital gains tax, will affect investment decisions.

It is only in recent years that we have started to tackle the housing deficit in our country, and as we have done so, house prices and rents have started to moderate.

However, demand pressures will remain as our population grows.  In Sydney alone, it is estimated  we will need to construct an additional 44,000 dwellings every year for the next 15 years just to keep up with demand.

During a time when housing investment is vital for jobs and to keep a lid on housing prices, the Grattan Institute and the federal Opposition are proposing radical changes to property investment. They are arguing that property owners, who last year paid a record $45 billion in property taxes (up over 10 per cent), should be slugged even more.

The Opposition has said its policy will not impact investment decisions. My question is when was the last time a government took an extra $32 billion from an industry and expected it to have no impact?

Major changes to negative gearing will make housing investment less attractive. This will, in turn, impact housing supply – and we will return to the bad old days, when supply did not keep up with demand.

If we want to make housing more affordable in our country, we must tackle the blockages to supply and not impose new ones. Proposed changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax will make a bad situation even worse.”

Ken Morrison is chief executive of the Property Council of Australia: The full article was published in the Sydney Morning Herald on 28/4/2016, click here: http://www.smh.com.au/comment/neative-gearing-isnt-the-bad-guy-in-the-housing-debate-20160427-gog59a#ixzz475X7LNkF

When will Sydney House prices boom again?

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When will Sydney House prices boom again?

The question already being asked, now that Sydney house prices seem to have peaked is “When will Sydney House prices boom again?”

House prices drop in almost all of Sydney’s suburbs over the last two quarters has seen the median house price dip below $1 million.

investment property growth in six years time?

investment property growth in six years time?

Many state that after a three-year property boom, Sydney’s house prices have fallen for the last six months indicating that the boom is clearly over. In fact, with the exception of 2012 which was a pretty ‘flat’ year in Sydney, the boom just over actually started in 2010. This makes the growth ‘boom’ period nearer to five years rather than just the last three years. Of course, the only areas that showed any good growth in from 2010 to 2013 were the Eastern Suburbs, Lower North Shore and Inner West. After the lull in price growth during 2012, we then saw the ‘ripple effect’ take hold as price increases rippled out to our outer suburbs. This was all quite predictable although the large percentage gain on median property prices over this period was a surprise to most. It just wasn’t expected to be such a big boom!

Since September 2015, when the median house price reached $1,045,000, the median Sydney price has fallen below the $1 million mark. The big question is “Where to from here?”

If history is any guide, the next boom is only five or six years away…. it nearly always is after the peak of each growth cycle.

We just need to keep a close eye on supply tightening up, Sydney population growth, the general economic conditions, unemployment and job growth, increasing rentals and affordability based on how much our average pay packets increase over the next few years. When we see all of the above begin to increase demand, then we’ll know that we are at the beginning of our next Sydney growth cycle.

Read more click here; http://goo.gl/oPgD2e

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Good news for Sydney’s first home buyers

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Good news for Sydney’s first home buyers .. . and not much to worry about for property investors

So Sydney has a median price below $1million again. The latest data published by Domain shows that a median priced Sydney property will only cost $995,804! This is an almost 4.7% drop from the peak prices of six months ago.

property-bubbleInterestingly, this percentage drop is slightly more than the house price drop of 2008 to 2009 at the height of the global financial crisis. It is the largest drop since the end of the last Sydney house price growth cycle of 1996 to 2003. For those with longer memories of the end of the last growth cycle in Sydney, it’s not a lot to be concerned about and in fact, is pretty much the expected outcome after such a long and large period of price growth.

We should try and cast our mind back to 2004-2006 after the end of the last Sydney ‘boom’ in 2003. The next headlines which we will be seeing pretty soon will concern the number of investment properties sold off plan to property investors in 2014/15. As prices drop and we approach an oversupply of units, bank valuations will not nearly match the prices paid by investors in these ‘late purchase’ off plan investments. A bank valuation of say 15% less than the purchase price may mean that the potential buyer can only borrow 15% less than was originally intended. Investors will not be able to borrow enough to settle and/or will walk away losing their deposits on units that are now not worth as much as they are paying for them. The result will be that more inexperienced developers will be forced into liquidation and there we have a whole new set of headlines coming our way.

Maybe I’ll refer you back to this blog in a few month’s time when the first headlines appear. The moral of this story?  It’s all cyclical.

How to make money by understanding property cycles

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McGrath Real Estate Shares lose 31% after trading stop

One of our best known Real Estate personalities, John McGrath, has proved just how well he understands the cyclic nature of the property market. He has not made his money on buying and selling investment property this time but in McGrath Real Estate Shares when he floated his company on the ASX at the top of the property growth cycle in Sydney in December 2015.

Mr McGrath listed his company on the ASX at the peak of the Sydney housing boom, at the obvious peak of his company’s earning potential and walked away with a cool $30 million plus for his efforts. Will it make such a difference now if McGrath Real Estate Shares lose 31%.Mcgrath

Like many other experienced commentators, Mr McGrath expected the market in Sydney to cool after December 2015 and was suggesting that investment property investors should look at South East Queensland as an area with much higher potential for short-term growth than the ‘hot’ Sydney market. It is very surprising that Mr McGrath is now reported to be claiming,

“an unforeseen low volume of listings and sales in the first half of April, particularly in the north and north-western suburbs of Sydney, has led to an earnings downgrade for the 2016 year.”

McGrath, which listed in December, has seen its share price fall by as much as 31 per cent when it came out of a trading halt. The share closed down 40¢ to 90¢. They last traded on Thursday at $1.30. I suppose the big question must be, was this really a much larger drop in the market than he expected when the float papers were prepared at the end of last year?

To us, it does demonstrate the power of understanding the property market and timing things correctly to get the most out of your investment – whither it is real property investment or just selling up your Real estate Company!

Full story: http://goo.gl/FSBEq2

Population increase – more property investment required?

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More overseas-born Australians today than in the last 120-years  

The percentage of Australian residents born overseas has increased every year for the past 15 years and, in June last year, reached 28.2 per cent, or 6.7 million people. This is the highest percentage rate since the late 1800s.

population

 

Data from the Australian Bureau of statistics released this week shows that the percentage of people born overseas has increased again. Little wonder, with these still very large new migrant numbers the demand for housing is growing and we see more and more of our suburbs in the larger cities with median prices going over $1 million. Little wonder that low income earners are finding it almost impossible to find and rent affordable places and little wonder that our vacancy rates for investment property are still very low and below what most would term a balanced market.

A surprise for some shows that residents from the UK remain the largest group of overseas-born residents at 5.1 per cent of the population. Kiwis make up the next largest group at 2.6 per cent, followed by 2% China, 1.8% India and 1% for both the Philippines and Vietnam.

Victoria, again, welcomed the largest number of interstate migrants with a net gain of 10,200 people making it our fastest population growth state, followed by Queensland with a net gain of 8800. NSW suffered a loss of 6600 although it did received the highest number of overseas migrants totalling 66,100 last financial year so the population of NSW is still growing strongly even although we have the highest number of people leaving the state to go interstate.

Little wonder the demand for rental of investment property is increasing in various parts of the country. Keeping an eye on these figures is important in choosing the best suburbs for property investment but the numbers should also give property investors confidence in finding permanent renters for their property investment.   Read more: http://goo.gl/nbrirR

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Australian Real Estate Agents Aren’t so Bad!

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Australian Real Estate Agents Aren’t so Bad when you view some of these headlines from overseas!

Some Terrible Real Estate Headlines

  1. Government introduced the Fair Housing Enforcement Program – helps rid Real Estate industry of discrimination and ensures a level playing field for buyers of all ages, races, disabilities and economic positions!
  2. Property is resold multiple times, making profit each time for the agent!
  3. Government is cracking down on Airbnb rentals.
  4. Huge Increase in Stamp duty for properties over 1.8 million!
  5. Prices May crash as World Cup Finals move location!

 

All of the above are recent stories from around the word concerning property and property investment; fortunately non are from Australia! To read the full story go to : http://goo.gl/14EmKh

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Good information for your next investment property

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Good information for your next investment property – choosing the best design for an investment property

An increasing number of Australians over the age of 40 are turning to share housing, with this in mind we have some good information for your next investment property.

As house prices and rents climb, more and more 40 plus year-olds are finding that the only way they can really afford to rent, particularly in the inner suburbs of our cities, is to move in with a flat mate.

This should guide clients interested in property investment in their selection criteria for a good apartment. Of course, the first thing we look for is a property that will be most appealing to future owner-occupiers in the area; we consider our exit strategy before we purchase. Another critical factor to consider is the investment property’s appeal to local renters. Now with an increasing number of single mature people looking for shared housing, as well as the very significant numbers of young professionals also looking for share accommodation, it is essential to ensure that your new property investment has at least one bathroom for each bedroom.

A recent Domain article highlights the increasing number of Australians over the age of 40 turning to share housing. Their data comes from share house listings service flatmates.com.au.

Between the start of January and end of February this year, the number of people over 40 looking for accommodation on the website jumped – relative to the total number of people looking – 20 per cent year on year.

It’s not surprising when we see the median rental price for an apartment in Sydney is $500 a week and it’s not much less for a well located apartment in our other major cities.

The concept of Share accommodation is no longer just housing for those moving out of the family home or for students; sharers have become far more diverse and include anyone from young professionals, single mums to retirees and or downsizers.

It’s information property investors should note when looking for that new investment property.

Read more: http://goo.gl/ksiQWI

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