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property prices Archives - Lime Property Solutions

How to make money by understanding property cycles

By | best investment, finance, Investment, property cycle | No Comments

McGrath Real Estate Shares lose 31% after trading stop

One of our best known Real Estate personalities, John McGrath, has proved just how well he understands the cyclic nature of the property market. He has not made his money on buying and selling investment property this time but in McGrath Real Estate Shares when he floated his company on the ASX at the top of the property growth cycle in Sydney in December 2015.

Mr McGrath listed his company on the ASX at the peak of the Sydney housing boom, at the obvious peak of his company’s earning potential and walked away with a cool $30 million plus for his efforts. Will it make such a difference now if McGrath Real Estate Shares lose 31%.Mcgrath

Like many other experienced commentators, Mr McGrath expected the market in Sydney to cool after December 2015 and was suggesting that investment property investors should look at South East Queensland as an area with much higher potential for short-term growth than the ‘hot’ Sydney market. It is very surprising that Mr McGrath is now reported to be claiming,

“an unforeseen low volume of listings and sales in the first half of April, particularly in the north and north-western suburbs of Sydney, has led to an earnings downgrade for the 2016 year.”

McGrath, which listed in December, has seen its share price fall by as much as 31 per cent when it came out of a trading halt. The share closed down 40¢ to 90¢. They last traded on Thursday at $1.30. I suppose the big question must be, was this really a much larger drop in the market than he expected when the float papers were prepared at the end of last year?

To us, it does demonstrate the power of understanding the property market and timing things correctly to get the most out of your investment – whither it is real property investment or just selling up your Real estate Company!

Full story: http://goo.gl/FSBEq2

Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics

By | Building, News, Property Solutions | No Comments
Lies, Damned lies and Statistics –“Building approvals slump for apartments and houses”

How can someone living in Sydney or Melbourne obtain any real understanding of the Australian Property Market?
Our ‘National” Press have been bombarding us with headlines from the beginning of 2015 about some magical property boom going on throughout Australia and more recently about how this ‘boom’ has come to a sudden stop with prices rapidly going backwards.
There is a great article in the Australian Financial Review on 6th January 2015 by Mathew Cranston informing us;
“Apartment approvals across Australia have given up their record-breaking numbers, with the latest official figures showing they slumped 23 per cent in November.”
The full story can be found at: http://www.afr.com/real-estate/building-approvals-slump-for-apartments-and-houses-20160106-gm0ucv#ixzz3wWSow34X
It goes on to state that , “Sydney property prices fell for the second consecutive month dropping 2.3 per cent in December, according to CoreLogic RP Data Home Value Index.”
I can only assume this is another general piece of parochial Sydneysider reporting with the impression that Australia stretches from somewhere around the Hawkesbury river to Port Philip Bay and all to the east of the Great Dividing Range!
This following piece must also only refer to the Hawkesbury/Port Philip Bay area
“Lower level approvals is not unexpected given the higher levels of approvals throughout the whole year,” Mr Harnich said.
“This could be good for first home buyers as it may put some downward pressure on pricing and help them into housing market.”
Brisbane is Australia’s third largest city and the following is a quote from the Australian Bureau of Statistics web site –
“The trend estimate for total number of dwelling units approved in Queensland rose 0.9% in November and has risen for three months. The trend estimate for the number of private sector houses rose 0.1% in November and has risen for seven months.”
Don’t believe it…. try: http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/[email protected]/Latestproducts/8731.0Main%20Features3Nov%202015?opendocument&tabname=Summary&prodno=8731.0&issue=Nov%202015&num=&view=
By definitions above, we must be expecting some growth then in Brisbane? This I could agree with!

~ Lime Property Solutions