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Who Really Benefits from Negative Gearing?

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Who Really Benefits from Negative Gearing?

Great piece of research from the ABC on who really benefits from negative gearing. It’s worth taking a look and we’ve also posted the full article on our media page. http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-04-26/negative-gearing-by-occupation/7357718

There are two articles today of extreme interest in this debate, the one above on who really benefits from negative gearing, a list by profession prepared by the ABC and the following article which clearly explains the myths and the facts for property investment and how negative gearing really works and its effects on the housing market in Australia. This article is complete, it’s too good not to allow you to read in full.

“ Let’s answer the myths about who uses negative gearing, what benefits they get and what would be the impact on the economy if the tax system was radically changed.property-bubble

Who really benefits from negative gearing?

Treasurer Scott Morrison dismisses a report indicating high income earners receive the most advantage from negative gearing. Audio courtesy of Radio National.

Another day and another set of half-truths and myths about negative gearing.

This time, the Grattan Institute is calling for retrospective changes to housing investment that would raise tens of billions of dollars in new taxes on property owners. This is even more than federal Labor’s policy that would raise $32 billion in additional property taxes over the next 10 years.

These new taxes are all predicated on myths about negative gearing, rather than on modelling the economic impacts of change.

So let’s answer the myths about who uses negative gearing, what benefits they get and what would be the impact on the Budget and the economy if the current taxation system was radically changed.

Myth:  Negative gearing mainly benefits those on higher incomes

Fact:  58 per cent of net rental loss deductions by value go to the people with taxable incomes less than $80,000.  Only 13 per cent go to those with taxable incomes above $200,000.

Myth: Property investors are driving up house prices.

Fact: Housing investors are helping increase supply and that’s taking pressure off house prices. Last year, Australia constructed a record 220,000 new dwellings – 65 per cent were purchased by owner/occupiers and 35 per cent by investors. The investors are vital to helping Australia meet its housing shortfall.

Myth: Negative gearing disproportionately benefits surgeons and anaesthetists

Fact: There are 891 anaesthetists and 1020 surgeons who negatively gear.  By comparison, there are 89,900 clerical staff, 48,900 teachers and 33,700 nurses and midwives who negatively gear. Changes to negative gearing will shut the door to these people to build a “nest egg” for the future.

Myth: Negative gearing is a big hit on the budget

Fact: The cost to the budget of negative gearing is dropping. Net rental losses from investment properties have fallen from $7.9 billion in 2011-12 to $3.7 billion in 2013-14.  This is a drop of 53 per cent in two years.

Myth: Negative gearing is a rort that does nothing for the economy

Fact: The property industry employs 1.1 million people. The construction of a typical home involves 40 tradies and contractors. The industry is a vital part of the economy. Labor’s negative gearing policy puts an additional $32 billion in taxes on property over the next 10 years.

But all these arguments miss a bigger point – those blaming negative gearing for all the woes in our housing markets have constructed a strawman.

When in fact the chronic undersupply in the past decade – leaving a deficit of 200,000 homes against demand – is the root cause of escalating prices and where policymakers should turn their attention.

In Sydney, we are still paying the price for the policies of the previous state government that declared “Sydney is full”. The prices that families, couples and singles are paying for housing in Sydney, and in other capitals is a direct result of policies that hinder supply.

No one can escape the laws of supply and demand – and policies that smash negative gearing and drive up capital gains tax, will affect investment decisions.

It is only in recent years that we have started to tackle the housing deficit in our country, and as we have done so, house prices and rents have started to moderate.

However, demand pressures will remain as our population grows.  In Sydney alone, it is estimated  we will need to construct an additional 44,000 dwellings every year for the next 15 years just to keep up with demand.

During a time when housing investment is vital for jobs and to keep a lid on housing prices, the Grattan Institute and the federal Opposition are proposing radical changes to property investment. They are arguing that property owners, who last year paid a record $45 billion in property taxes (up over 10 per cent), should be slugged even more.

The Opposition has said its policy will not impact investment decisions. My question is when was the last time a government took an extra $32 billion from an industry and expected it to have no impact?

Major changes to negative gearing will make housing investment less attractive. This will, in turn, impact housing supply – and we will return to the bad old days, when supply did not keep up with demand.

If we want to make housing more affordable in our country, we must tackle the blockages to supply and not impose new ones. Proposed changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax will make a bad situation even worse.”

Ken Morrison is chief executive of the Property Council of Australia: The full article was published in the Sydney Morning Herald on 28/4/2016, click here: http://www.smh.com.au/comment/neative-gearing-isnt-the-bad-guy-in-the-housing-debate-20160427-gog59a#ixzz475X7LNkF

When will Sydney House prices boom again?

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When will Sydney House prices boom again?

The question already being asked, now that Sydney house prices seem to have peaked is “When will Sydney House prices boom again?”

House prices drop in almost all of Sydney’s suburbs over the last two quarters has seen the median house price dip below $1 million.

investment property growth in six years time?

investment property growth in six years time?

Many state that after a three-year property boom, Sydney’s house prices have fallen for the last six months indicating that the boom is clearly over. In fact, with the exception of 2012 which was a pretty ‘flat’ year in Sydney, the boom just over actually started in 2010. This makes the growth ‘boom’ period nearer to five years rather than just the last three years. Of course, the only areas that showed any good growth in from 2010 to 2013 were the Eastern Suburbs, Lower North Shore and Inner West. After the lull in price growth during 2012, we then saw the ‘ripple effect’ take hold as price increases rippled out to our outer suburbs. This was all quite predictable although the large percentage gain on median property prices over this period was a surprise to most. It just wasn’t expected to be such a big boom!

Since September 2015, when the median house price reached $1,045,000, the median Sydney price has fallen below the $1 million mark. The big question is “Where to from here?”

If history is any guide, the next boom is only five or six years away…. it nearly always is after the peak of each growth cycle.

We just need to keep a close eye on supply tightening up, Sydney population growth, the general economic conditions, unemployment and job growth, increasing rentals and affordability based on how much our average pay packets increase over the next few years. When we see all of the above begin to increase demand, then we’ll know that we are at the beginning of our next Sydney growth cycle.

Read more click here; http://goo.gl/oPgD2e

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Population increase – more property investment required?

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More overseas-born Australians today than in the last 120-years  

The percentage of Australian residents born overseas has increased every year for the past 15 years and, in June last year, reached 28.2 per cent, or 6.7 million people. This is the highest percentage rate since the late 1800s.

population

 

Data from the Australian Bureau of statistics released this week shows that the percentage of people born overseas has increased again. Little wonder, with these still very large new migrant numbers the demand for housing is growing and we see more and more of our suburbs in the larger cities with median prices going over $1 million. Little wonder that low income earners are finding it almost impossible to find and rent affordable places and little wonder that our vacancy rates for investment property are still very low and below what most would term a balanced market.

A surprise for some shows that residents from the UK remain the largest group of overseas-born residents at 5.1 per cent of the population. Kiwis make up the next largest group at 2.6 per cent, followed by 2% China, 1.8% India and 1% for both the Philippines and Vietnam.

Victoria, again, welcomed the largest number of interstate migrants with a net gain of 10,200 people making it our fastest population growth state, followed by Queensland with a net gain of 8800. NSW suffered a loss of 6600 although it did received the highest number of overseas migrants totalling 66,100 last financial year so the population of NSW is still growing strongly even although we have the highest number of people leaving the state to go interstate.

Little wonder the demand for rental of investment property is increasing in various parts of the country. Keeping an eye on these figures is important in choosing the best suburbs for property investment but the numbers should also give property investors confidence in finding permanent renters for their property investment.   Read more: http://goo.gl/nbrirR

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Do It Because You Can!

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DO IT BECAUSE YOU CAN – Why Do Today What You Can Put Off Until Tomorrow?

I don’t believe most people really appreciate the unbelievable cost of “thinking about it”; “putting it off” or using the word we often use “PROCRASTINATING”.

We know a few people from around mid 2015 who were reasonably keen on investing in property but decided to “wait a couple of months”.  They came back to talk to us a couple of months later and we had to inform them that if they wanted to go ahead now, they would have to move from their current lender and find a lender who would do a loan of just over 80% loan for them. The lending ‘rules’ changed and they could no longer do what they were able to do just four or five weeks earlier!

In a volatile market place, rules are constantly changing. Major banks have again just announced a tightening of borrowing criteria. We now find that an average income family on a combined income of $120,000 per year purchasing an investment property, will have to make do with up to $80,000 less from a major bank than they would have had a year ago. This sounds pretty bad but Mr & Mrs Average still have a pretty good borrowing capacity for investment if they act now.

To measure the impact of tougher bank lending policies, Homeloanexperts calculated the borrowing power or maximum loan amount for a couple earning $60,000 each, with two children and came up with some interesting comparisons across the four major banks.

Commonwealth Bank, for instance, could have lent $640,000 as a housing investment loan (Not owner-occupier)a year ago, compared with $560,000 now – an $80,000 reduction. Other major banks had similar reductions in lending capacity over the year.

(Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/business/maximum-loan-sizes-slashed-how-banks-are-cracking-down-on-borrowers-20151222-glt9xv#ixzz3wQsVLaE6 )

 

The big question is “How much less may you be able to borrow if you procrastinate for another year?”

 

One of the many important reasons for taking action now at the beginning of 2016 is quite simply do it “BECAUSE YOU CAN!” It might be a completely different story in a few months time and you may have lost your opportunity for ever!

new-year-start-2015

What a Start To The New Year

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Thousands of people in Time Square New York celebrated the ninth New York’s Good Riddance Day. Basically a huge shredder was set up where people could publically destroy their physical and emotional ‘baggage’. People through in notes and placards, pills and bills, and piles of clothes; anything representing their baggage of 2015. A line as far as the eye could see stretched all down Broadway.

The simple rule was that any member of the public could come to destroy, “any unpleasant, embarrassing and downright forgettable memories from 2015”. This was done with passion shredding papers with the words ‘NEGATIVITY” and “PROCRASTINATION” written on them, smashing up IT equipment with hammers, destroying credit cards and throwing out mementos from old relationships.

Good Riddance Day has its roots in an old Latin American tradition where people sew objects on dolls and set them on fire letting their pain and frustrations dissipate in the smoke!
And what became of all the shredded rubbish? It was recycled and used as confetti as the famous Time Square Ball dropped at midnight.

This is something we could all do in the privacy of our own back yards to get us moving forward again in 2016 here in Sydney  – A Happy and prosperous New Year to you all!

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/burning-the-past-and-reinventing-the-future-in-times-square-20151230-glx6sf#ixzz3wESAwsrX